Arles vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
51.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
14.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 0
ARL
66%
21%
13%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
ARL
2 - 4
GIR
12%
21%
67%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
MON
0 - 0
ARL
69%
21%
10%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
ARL
3 - 2
CAE
20%
26%
55%
|
64 | 78 | 14 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
LOR
2 - 0
ARL
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 82 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
ASN
1 - 1
ASS
44%
26%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
ASN
2 - 0
VAL
44%
27%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
GIR
2 - 1
ASN
66%
21%
14%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
ASN
0 - 4
MON
41%
27%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
CAE
2 - 3
ASN
41%
27%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |