Arles vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
51.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
SOC
2 - 1
ARL
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2010 |
ARL
1 - 0
CLE
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2010 |
SED
0 - 0
ARL
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2010 |
CHA
3 - 0
ARL
34%
28%
38%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2010 |
ARL
1 - 0
NAN
41%
29%
30%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2010 |
LEN
1 - 2
ASN
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 2
ATH
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2010 |
KOL
1 - 2
LEN
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2010 |
ZUL
0 - 1
LEN
33%
26%
40%
|
82 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
LEN
4 - 3
GIR
23%
25%
52%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |