Arles vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2014 |
LEN
3 - 0
ARL
62%
23%
15%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 2
ASN
27%
29%
45%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
CHA
2 - 0
ARL
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 1
NÎM
40%
29%
31%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
CAE
1 - 0
ARL
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2014 |
IST
1 - 1
CLE
40%
27%
33%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
TRO
4 - 1
IST
72%
18%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2014 |
IST
0 - 1
LHA
38%
27%
35%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2014 |
STL
3 - 4
IST
50%
25%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2014 |
IST
1 - 0
TOU
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | +1 |