Arles vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
55%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 0
ARL
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
LYO
1 - 3
ARL
22%
25%
53%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2014 |
ARL
0 - 2
DIJ
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2014 |
CLE
3 - 1
ARL
42%
29%
30%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -2 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
AIX
0 - 4
ARL
12%
19%
69%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | +1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
1 - 0
PSG
14%
21%
65%
|
74 | 90 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2014 |
PAO
1 - 2
GUI
62%
21%
17%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
REI
2 - 3
GUI
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2014 |
GUI
5 - 1
CAE
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ETG
2 - 0
GUI
54%
24%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |