Arles vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
37.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
0 - 0
LEN
31%
28%
41%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
LHA
1 - 2
ARL
55%
25%
21%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
LMU
1 - 1
ARL
54%
26%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 0
MET
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
NAN
3 - 0
ARL
56%
25%
19%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 3
LHA
62%
23%
15%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 0
GUI
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
GUI
31%
28%
41%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
GUI
3 - 1
CLE
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2012 |
MET
2 - 5
GUI
39%
29%
32%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | +1 |