Arles vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
CAB
2 - 2
ARL
33%
29%
39%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 1
STL
47%
28%
25%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARL
52%
27%
21%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
ARL
3 - 0
ANG
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
DIJ
1 - 1
ARL
59%
24%
17%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2014 |
LUS
2 - 0
LHA
45%
26%
29%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2014 |
TRO
0 - 3
LUS
66%
20%
14%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +2 |
| 11 Apr. 2014 |
TOU
1 - 2
LUS
56%
22%
21%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
LUS
4 - 0
STL
50%
26%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2014 |
CAB
3 - 1
LUS
28%
25%
47%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | -1 |