Arles vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.4%
35%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
MET
1 - 0
ARL
49%
27%
25%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
TRO
1 - 0
ARL
65%
22%
14%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
BAS
0 - 1
ARL
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 0
LHA
35%
29%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
ARL
1 - 1
LHA
35%
29%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
CLE
2 - 1
STL
58%
25%
18%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
LHA
0 - 1
CLE
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2013 |
CLE
3 - 0
DIJ
34%
25%
41%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
CLE
2 - 1
TOU
42%
27%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
CLE
1 - 1
NIO
48%
27%
25%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |