Arles vs Clermont analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2012 |
AUX
2 - 1
ARL
64%
23%
13%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 1
AJA
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2012 |
ARL
1 - 1
CHA
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
NIO
0 - 0
ARL
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ARL
2 - 1
NAN
42%
29%
29%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Clermont
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2012 |
CLE
0 - 0
STL
54%
25%
21%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2012 |
DIJ
1 - 1
CLE
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2012 |
CLE
1 - 1
TOU
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
LMU
3 - 1
CLE
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2012 |
CLE
0 - 1
CAE
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |