Arles vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
55.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 1
ARL
54%
25%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
ARL
1 - 1
STR
37%
28%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
AJA
1 - 0
ARL
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Dec. 2009 |
ARL
3 - 0
CHA
40%
27%
33%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2009 |
NAN
1 - 0
ARL
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
CHA
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2010 |
MET
1 - 3
CAE
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
DIJ
1 - 1
CAE
25%
25%
50%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAS
71%
20%
9%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
REN
2 - 0
CAE
54%
24%
22%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |