Arles vs Chateauroux analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
31.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
TOU
4 - 1
ARL
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 2
GUI
27%
29%
45%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
BAS
3 - 0
ARL
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
STL
2 - 1
ARL
52%
25%
23%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
ARL
1 - 1
AMI
32%
28%
40%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Chateauroux
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 1
ANG
33%
29%
38%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
AMI
4 - 0
CHA
55%
25%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
2 - 1
MON
19%
27%
53%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2011 |
LHA
3 - 0
CHA
61%
22%
18%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2011 |
CHA
1 - 0
TRO
41%
28%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |