Arles vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.2%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
55.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
CHA
2 - 0
ARL
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 1
NIO
43%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 1
ARL
67%
21%
12%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2013 |
ARL
0 - 2
MON
22%
27%
51%
|
62 | 75 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2013 |
ANG
2 - 0
ARL
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
SED
1 - 0
AUX
25%
27%
48%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2013 |
AUX
2 - 1
GUI
55%
25%
21%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2013 |
IST
0 - 3
AUX
24%
27%
50%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
AUX
3 - 2
TOU
65%
22%
13%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
STL
4 - 5
AUX
25%
27%
48%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | 0 |