Arles II vs Aubagne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.4%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.4%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
21.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arles II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2014 |
SÈT
0 - 1
ARL
76%
16%
8%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
ARL
1 - 2
NIM
61%
20%
19%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
AJA
0 - 2
ARL
52%
22%
26%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ARL
2 - 2
SPO
64%
20%
16%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ESP
0 - 0
ARL
43%
23%
33%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Aubagne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
AUB
2 - 0
AJA
47%
23%
30%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
SPO
4 - 0
AUB
52%
22%
25%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
VEN
3 - 4
AUB
39%
25%
36%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
AUB
3 - 3
DIJ
6%
13%
81%
|
31 | 69 | 38 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
AUB
3 - 5
OLY
16%
22%
62%
|
31 | 56 | 25 | 0 |