Arka Gdynia vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2012 |
ARK
0 - 1
OLI
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
ARK
0 - 2
POG
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TSP
1 - 3
ARK
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
ARK
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ARK
1 - 0
PLO
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2012 |
KOT
0 - 4
WAR
17%
23%
60%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
PLO
3 - 3
WAR
38%
27%
35%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
WAR
0 - 1
ZAW
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
GKS
0 - 3
WAR
43%
28%
29%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
WAR
2 - 0
GOR
47%
25%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |