Arka Gdynia vs Olimpia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.9%
Win probability
2.43
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.1%
10%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
ARK
0 - 2
POG
54%
24%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
TSP
1 - 3
ARK
34%
28%
38%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
POL
0 - 1
ARK
26%
28%
47%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
ARK
1 - 0
PLO
71%
18%
11%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
ZAW
3 - 0
ARK
39%
28%
34%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Olimpia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2012 |
KOL
2 - 2
OLI
64%
21%
14%
|
44 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
OLI
4 - 1
DOL
25%
26%
50%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 16 May. 2012 |
FLO
2 - 1
OLI
59%
23%
18%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
OLI
1 - 2
RUC
24%
26%
49%
|
43 | 55 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2012 |
OLI
3 - 0
OLI
64%
21%
15%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |