Arka Gdynia vs Motor Lublin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
18.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2007 |
ARK
2 - 0
POL
50%
26%
24%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2007 |
GDA
0 - 0
ARK
34%
28%
38%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MGJ
2 - 0
ARK
19%
27%
54%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
ODR
0 - 2
ARK
19%
27%
54%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2007 |
ARK
4 - 1
PLO
43%
27%
31%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
SLA
10 - 1
MOT
38%
28%
34%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
MOT
1 - 0
ZNI
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2007 |
MOT
0 - 1
STA
65%
22%
13%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
GKS
4 - 0
MOT
39%
28%
33%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
MOT
1 - 1
KMI
72%
19%
9%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |