Arka Gdynia vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
30.1%
Draw
0-0
13.2%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.1%
43%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
ARK
2 - 1
TSP
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2011 |
KOR
1 - 0
ARK
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2011 |
ARK
0 - 2
RCH
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2011 |
GKS
1 - 1
ARK
67%
21%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2011 |
ARK
2 - 2
GDA
36%
28%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2011 |
WAR
2 - 0
WIS
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
JAG
0 - 0
WAR
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
GÓR
1 - 1
WAR
30%
30%
40%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
WAR
3 - 1
KOR
67%
20%
13%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2011 |
LPO
1 - 1
WAR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |