Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 3-4
Arka Gdynia vs Beroe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.4%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arka Gdynia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
STA
1 - 4
ARK
55%
25%
20%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1979 |
ARK
2 - 0
LPO
49%
26%
25%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
WLO
1 - 1
ARK
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
ARK
1 - 1
ZAW
56%
24%
19%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1979 |
TSP
0 - 2
ARK
46%
28%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Beroe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 1979 |
BER
4 - 3
LPL
63%
21%
16%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1979 |
MAR
3 - 2
BER
59%
22%
19%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1979 |
BER
0 - 1
SSO
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1979 |
ETA
1 - 0
BER
47%
25%
27%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 1979 |
BER
2 - 0
BVR
65%
20%
16%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | +1 |