Phoenix Rising vs Tacoma Defiance analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
17%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
AUB
1 - 0
ARI
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
EPL
0 - 2
ARI
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 0
FFC
51%
24%
24%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
ARI
2 - 2
COL
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ARI
3 - 3
NMU
48%
25%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
LVG
5 - 0
TAC
35%
24%
41%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
ORA
4 - 0
TAC
68%
18%
14%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2019 |
TAC
2 - 1
SAC
30%
27%
42%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TAC
1 - 2
NMU
29%
24%
47%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -2 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
TUL
4 - 0
TAC
26%
23%
51%
|
48 | 36 | 12 | -2 |