Phoenix Rising vs San Diego Loyal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.1%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
SAC
0 - 1
ARI
24%
25%
51%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
ARI
5 - 1
LVG
80%
13%
7%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
TAM
2 - 1
ARI
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ARI
3 - 0
ORS
70%
18%
12%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ARI
4 - 1
SDL
64%
21%
15%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
San Diego Loyal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2021 |
SDL
2 - 1
LVG
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
LOU
2 - 1
SDL
69%
20%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2021 |
TAC
3 - 1
SDL
26%
24%
50%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
RGV
1 - 0
SDL
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
ARI
4 - 1
SDL
64%
21%
15%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |