Phoenix Rising vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
SAR
1 - 1
ARI
6%
14%
80%
|
54 | 11 | 43 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
TUL
1 - 5
ARI
28%
26%
46%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2018 |
OKC
0 - 3
ARI
26%
27%
47%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ARI
4 - 3
LAG
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ARI
1 - 1
FFC
48%
24%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2018 |
SAC
3 - 1
FRA
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 3
REN
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
SEA
1 - 2
SAC
27%
25%
48%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2018 |
POR
2 - 0
SAC
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 1
TUL
71%
18%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |