Phoenix Rising vs Monterey Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ARI
4 - 0
USA
44%
26%
30%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SAC
2 - 0
ARI
54%
25%
21%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
ARI
1 - 0
TUL
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LOU
0 - 1
ARI
32%
26%
42%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 0
CAR
40%
26%
34%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monterey Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
MBF
0 - 0
ORA
24%
25%
51%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
LVG
0 - 0
MBF
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
MBF
0 - 1
USA
20%
26%
55%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
MIA
1 - 0
MBF
37%
24%
39%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MBF
0 - 0
EPL
41%
27%
33%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |