Phoenix Rising vs Greenville Triumph analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
32.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 2
SDL
41%
25%
35%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
SDL
3 - 0
ARI
50%
23%
27%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
CHA
1 - 1
ARI
19%
22%
60%
|
51 | 40 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 4
KCW
10%
18%
72%
|
51 | 78 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 2
COL
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Greenville Triumph
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
GTR
0 - 1
RIC
38%
28%
34%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
GTR
0 - 1
TOR
43%
27%
30%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RIC
1 - 1
GTR
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
GTR
1 - 0
CHA
42%
27%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
GTR
2 - 2
TUC
48%
26%
26%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |