Phoenix Rising vs Colorado Springs Switchback analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.1%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
54.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
LAG
4 - 1
ARI
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 3
COL
27%
25%
48%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
TUC
0 - 5
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ORA
1 - 1
ARI
55%
23%
22%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
ARI
0 - 0
OKC
32%
25%
44%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Colorado Springs Switchback
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2016 |
COL
1 - 1
ORA
68%
19%
13%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
ARI
1 - 3
COL
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
HAR
82%
13%
5%
|
54 | 17 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
COL
1 - 0
POR
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
ORA
0 - 3
COL
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | +1 |