Phoenix Rising vs North Carolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Phoenix Rising
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 0
TAM
29%
26%
45%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
COL
2 - 0
ARI
38%
26%
36%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HAA
0 - 0
ARI
18%
22%
61%
|
60 | 42 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 0
EPL
69%
19%
13%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
USA
2 - 1
ARI
42%
26%
32%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
North Carolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
USA
1 - 0
CAR
38%
26%
37%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
COL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
ORA
0 - 1
CAR
36%
26%
37%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
RHO
2 - 1
CAR
16%
21%
63%
|
60 | 20 | 40 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 1
DET
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 55 | 5 | 0 |