Ariznabarra vs Sestao River analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
56.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 1
ARI
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
ARI
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARI
4 - 1
CDL
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
TOR
1 - 4
ARI
10%
16%
74%
|
25 | 10 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
ARI
0 - 2
SLV
68%
19%
14%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sestao River
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SES
3 - 0
SAN
70%
17%
12%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2019 |
SES
0 - 1
MAR
46%
26%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
SES
48%
26%
26%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
SES
3 - 1
PBL
34%
26%
40%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
PBL
1 - 1
SES
66%
20%
15%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |