Ariznabarra vs San Ignacio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
62.3%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+65%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SOD
3 - 1
ARI
66%
19%
16%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
1 - 1
AFT
24%
23%
53%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
ARI
0 - 1
BAS
27%
25%
48%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PAS
0 - 0
ARI
72%
17%
11%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ARI
0 - 2
LON
44%
25%
32%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
San Ignacio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 0
LON
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
URD
2 - 2
SAN
29%
26%
45%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 2
CDV
36%
26%
38%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 03 Jan. 2021 |
CDU
1 - 2
SAN
36%
24%
40%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 0
SOD
50%
23%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | +2 |