Ariznabarra vs SD Gernika analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
8.1%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
1.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
6.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
72.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
17.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
16.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
22.6%
0-3
10.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
13.5%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.2%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
ARI
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 0
LON
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
TOL
2 - 1
ARI
33%
23%
44%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
ARI
3 - 1
CDU
23%
24%
54%
|
23 | 36 | 13 | +3 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SNT
1 - 0
ARI
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
SD Gernika
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
GER
1 - 1
BEA
80%
16%
4%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 3
GER
10%
21%
70%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
GER
1 - 0
RSO
76%
18%
6%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
LON
0 - 0
GER
6%
19%
75%
|
47 | 24 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
GER
1 - 0
PAS
82%
15%
4%
|
47 | 22 | 25 | 0 |