Ariznabarra vs SCD Durango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
53.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariznabarra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
SNT
1 - 0
ARI
36%
24%
40%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ARI
0 - 0
SES
20%
24%
56%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
BFC
2 - 1
ARI
49%
23%
28%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2017 |
AUR
2 - 0
ARI
52%
23%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
ARI
4 - 1
CDL
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
SCD Durango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
CDU
2 - 0
SAN
66%
19%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2019 |
LON
1 - 0
CDU
15%
22%
63%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
CDU
3 - 0
TOL
77%
15%
8%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
SDA
4 - 0
CDU
78%
14%
7%
|
37 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
CDU
1 - 3
ROB
19%
24%
57%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -2 |