Ariza vs Monreal CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.8%
18.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HER
1 - 1
ARI
25%
20%
55%
|
12 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
LUC
4 - 3
ARI
37%
22%
41%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
PRA
47%
22%
32%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
GAL
1 - 1
ARI
56%
21%
24%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
TOR
46%
21%
33%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Monreal CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
CDC
72%
16%
12%
|
10 | 6 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
ZAL
2 - 3
MON
37%
21%
42%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
MON
1 - 0
CDM
23%
24%
53%
|
8 | 15 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
MON
3 - 2
RIV
20%
20%
60%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
LMU
4 - 0
MON
62%
18%
20%
|
8 | 11 | 3 | -1 |