Ariza vs Calamocha CF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PRA
2 - 0
ARI
80%
13%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 3
RIV
75%
15%
11%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 2
ARI
38%
22%
40%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
HER
32%
22%
46%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2024 |
ATE
3 - 2
ARI
64%
18%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Calamocha CF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 3
CDC
27%
23%
49%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
OLV
0 - 0
CAL
68%
18%
14%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
TOR
2 - 1
CAL
77%
14%
8%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 1
PRA
11%
17%
73%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2024 |
CAL
0 - 2
RIV
54%
21%
24%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | -1 |