Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-11
Aris Thessaloniki vs Újpest FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
HIB
0 - 6
ARI
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1968 |
ARI
1 - 0
HIB
62%
19%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
JUV
5 - 0
ARI
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1966 |
ARI
0 - 2
JUV
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1965 |
KOL
2 - 0
ARI
82%
11%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Újpest FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 1966 |
UJP
1 - 1
LEE
48%
24%
29%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1966 |
LEE
4 - 1
UJP
68%
18%
15%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 1966 |
UJP
4 - 0
KOL
37%
23%
40%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1966 |
KOL
3 - 2
UJP
76%
14%
10%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1965 |
EVE
2 - 1
UJP
66%
18%
16%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |