Europa League 1/64
Global 3-2
Aris Thessaloniki vs Servette analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 1999 |
PRO
2 - 1
ARI
25%
28%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ARI
3 - 1
PAN
65%
22%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 May. 1999 |
OFI
2 - 4
ARI
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
ARI
2 - 0
VER
70%
20%
10%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 May. 1999 |
PAN
0 - 1
ARI
29%
27%
45%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
SER
2 - 1
STG
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1999 |
GCZ
4 - 2
SER
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 1999 |
SER
2 - 2
STR
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1999 |
SER
3 - 1
YVE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 1999 |
NEX
3 - 2
SER
39%
26%
35%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |