Europa League 1/32
Global 1-5
Aris Thessaloniki vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ERG
1 - 0
ARI
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
ROM
5 - 1
ARI
80%
14%
6%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -2 |
| 25 May. 2005 |
KAL
3 - 1
ARI
53%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2005 |
OLP
3 - 0
ARI
78%
14%
8%
|
72 | 82 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
ARI
0 - 2
IRA
36%
29%
36%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
CAG
0 - 0
ROM
31%
27%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2005 |
ROM
4 - 1
PAR
56%
23%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
LIV
0 - 0
ROM
31%
26%
43%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2005 |
ROM
5 - 1
ARI
80%
14%
6%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2005 |
ROM
0 - 1
UDI
47%
25%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |