Cup Semi-finals
Global 1-0
Aris Thessaloniki vs Panetolikos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
10.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 3
AEK
45%
25%
30%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 0
ARI
46%
26%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 0
VNF
74%
17%
9%
|
80 | 61 | 19 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ATR
0 - 2
ARI
29%
28%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 1
ARI
27%
26%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Panetolikos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
KIF
2 - 2
PGE
34%
27%
39%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
PGE
1 - 2
OLP
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PGE
1 - 3
PAO
14%
22%
64%
|
64 | 81 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 2
PGE
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
PGE
0 - 1
ARI
27%
26%
47%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | 0 |