Cup Quarter-finals
Global 0-2
Aris Thessaloniki vs Olympiacos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
34.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 0
VNF
62%
23%
15%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
OLP
1 - 0
ARI
59%
23%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
OLP
1 - 0
ARI
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ARI
1 - 0
LEV
55%
24%
22%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
ARI
3 - 0
TRI
63%
23%
14%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Olympiacos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
ATR
1 - 1
OLP
20%
25%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2023 |
OLP
1 - 0
ARI
59%
23%
18%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
OLP
1 - 0
ARI
54%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
ATR
2 - 2
OLP
24%
25%
52%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
VNF
0 - 4
OLP
25%
25%
49%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |