Aris Thessaloniki vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.3%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
23.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
PIE
3 - 0
ARI
31%
28%
41%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1993 |
ARI
1 - 2
OFI
34%
31%
35%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
PAN
1 - 3
ARI
50%
26%
25%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
ARI
1 - 0
DOX
46%
28%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
ATH
3 - 1
ARI
45%
28%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 1993 |
LAR
0 - 0
OLP
26%
29%
45%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 1993 |
EDE
2 - 0
LAR
48%
25%
26%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 1993 |
IRA
2 - 2
LAR
61%
23%
15%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 1993 |
LAR
0 - 1
AEK
29%
30%
40%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1993 |
PAS
2 - 1
LAR
44%
27%
29%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |