Aris Thessaloniki vs AEL Larisa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.1%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
14%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
ARI
1 - 0
AEK
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
DIA
0 - 2
ARI
21%
28%
51%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
ARI
1 - 1
OLY
77%
16%
7%
|
81 | 53 | 28 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
DOX
0 - 0
ARI
23%
26%
51%
|
81 | 56 | 25 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1988 |
ARI
2 - 1
PAN
78%
15%
7%
|
81 | 60 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
AEL Larisa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1988 |
NEX
2 - 1
LAR
72%
16%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1988 |
LAR
2 - 1
PAN
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1988 |
APO
1 - 1
LAR
39%
28%
33%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1988 |
LAR
4 - 0
PAN
46%
27%
28%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 1988 |
PAO
2 - 1
LAR
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |