Aris Thessaloniki vs Kavala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
APS
3 - 3
ARI
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1999 |
ARI
2 - 2
CEL
30%
29%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
ARI
5 - 1
PAN
66%
21%
13%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1999 |
PRO
0 - 1
ARI
26%
28%
46%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1999 |
SER
1 - 2
ARI
59%
22%
19%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Kavala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 1999 |
AOK
0 - 0
ION
33%
28%
39%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1999 |
AOK
0 - 5
OLP
23%
24%
54%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1999 |
PAN
2 - 0
AOK
47%
25%
28%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 1999 |
AOK
3 - 1
IRA
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
ETH
1 - 0
AOK
46%
25%
30%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | -1 |