Aris Thessaloniki vs Athens Kallithea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
34
1º
6º
5º
15
8º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 55 |
1º
|
72% | |
|
2º
|
43 | 51 |
2º
|
29% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 51 |
3º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 47 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 42 |
5º
|
56.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 39 |
6º
|
57.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 35 |
7º
|
45% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 34 |
8º
|
41.5% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 31 |
9º
|
45.5% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 26 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 26 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 26 |
12º
|
41% | |
|
|
13º
|
15 | 20 |
13º
|
90% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 13 |
14º
|
99% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
92% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
8% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 0
LAM
76%
17%
7%
|
82 | 64 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
PAO
0 - 1
ARI
55%
23%
22%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
ETH
0 - 1
ARI
11%
20%
69%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
ARI
2 - 1
OLP
46%
25%
29%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OFI
3 - 2
ARI
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 70 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 3
TRI
56%
25%
19%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
VNF
1 - 1
KAL
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
DIA
0 - 0
KAL
15%
23%
62%
|
74 | 54 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 0
AEK
27%
25%
48%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LAM
0 - 0
KAL
41%
28%
31%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |