Aris Thessaloniki vs Athens Kallithea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
+1
26.3%
21%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
11.5%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2004 |
OFI
3 - 0
ARI
55%
25%
21%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
XAN
1 - 0
ARI
45%
28%
27%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
ARI
1 - 0
PAN
71%
19%
10%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2004 |
ARI
0 - 2
IRA
36%
26%
37%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
ARI
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Athens Kallithea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
KAL
2 - 3
HAL
47%
25%
28%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
PAN
0 - 0
KAL
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
KAL
0 - 3
PAN
26%
27%
47%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2004 |
IRA
2 - 0
KAL
77%
16%
7%
|
62 | 81 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2004 |
KAL
0 - 1
ION
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |