Cup Winners Cup 1/16
Global 2-6
Aris Thessaloniki vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
52.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 1969 |
CAG
3 - 0
ARI
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1969 |
ARI
1 - 1
CAG
43%
26%
32%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
UJP
9 - 1
ARI
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
ARI
1 - 2
UJP
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
HIB
0 - 6
ARI
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 2
WOL
75%
16%
9%
|
88 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 1970 |
LEE
1 - 0
CHL
60%
22%
19%
|
89 | 91 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 1970 |
BUR
0 - 0
CHL
32%
25%
43%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
63%
22%
15%
|
88 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 1970 |
CHL
2 - 2
EVE
49%
26%
25%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | 0 |