Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/32
Global 1-4
Aris Thessaloniki vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1968 |
UJP
9 - 1
ARI
69%
17%
14%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1968 |
ARI
1 - 2
UJP
45%
23%
32%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1968 |
HIB
0 - 6
ARI
43%
22%
35%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1968 |
ARI
1 - 0
HIB
62%
19%
20%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 1966 |
JUV
5 - 0
ARI
69%
18%
13%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1969 |
SAM
0 - 0
CAG
34%
29%
37%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1969 |
CAG
2 - 2
CAT
82%
13%
6%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1969 |
CAG
3 - 0
PAL
77%
15%
8%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1969 |
FCC
0 - 1
CAG
21%
27%
52%
|
83 | 58 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 1969 |
TOR
1 - 2
CAG
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |