Aris Thessaloniki vs Asteras Tripolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
4º
7º
4º
4
3º
13º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
10 | 53 |
1º
|
39% | |
|
1º
|
10 | 51 |
2º
|
23.5% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 50 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
5º
|
5 | 43 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
7º
|
5 | 43 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
13º
|
2 | 37 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
6º
|
5 | 34 |
7º
|
15.5% | |
|
4º
|
7 | 34 |
8º
|
17.5% | |
|
11º
|
3 | 32 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
9º
|
4 | 28 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
3 | 26 |
11º
|
16% | |
|
|
10º
|
4 | 25 |
12º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
5 | 25 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
14º
|
1 | 21 |
14º
|
44.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
74.5% | 4% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
25.5% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
ARI
17%
26%
57%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ATR
1 - 1
ARI
30%
28%
43%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 1
LAM
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
ARI
31%
27%
42%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FCD
0 - 0
ARI
31%
26%
43%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
VNF
50%
26%
24%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
PAN
0 - 1
TRI
71%
20%
10%
|
67 | 81 | 14 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
KAL
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VER
1 - 0
TRI
82%
12%
6%
|
67 | 83 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
BOL
3 - 3
TRI
79%
15%
6%
|
67 | 90 | 23 | 0 |