Aris Thessaloniki vs AEK Athens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.4%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.8%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
2º
5º
5º
78
1º
3º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
80 | 20 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
78 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
74 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
72 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
55 | 13 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
35 | 1 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Thessaloniki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARI
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ARI
0 - 2
PAN
50%
25%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 0
ARI
55%
23%
22%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
ARI
3 - 1
LAM
74%
18%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
PAO
0 - 1
ARI
53%
24%
23%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
AEK Athens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 0
ARI
51%
25%
24%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AEK
2 - 2
PAO
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PAN
2 - 1
AEK
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
AEK
1 - 0
OLP
50%
24%
26%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2024 |
APO
0 - 1
AEK
41%
25%
34%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | -1 |