Aris Voula vs Nafpaktiakos Asteras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.1%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
71.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.3%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.8%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.5%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nafpaktiakos Asteras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
NAF
1 - 1
PAN
7%
14%
79%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
AOK
0 - 4
NAF
41%
24%
35%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
PAO
1 - 1
NAF
28%
25%
48%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
NAF
2 - 0
ACK
28%
25%
47%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +3 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
AGN
0 - 2
NAF
39%
24%
37%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |