Aris Limassol vs Apollon Limassol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.1%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
34.7%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
3º
1º
63
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
63 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 12 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
61 | 11 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
66 | 9 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
49 | 8 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
100% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2023 |
AEK
1 - 1
ARI
39%
27%
34%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
ARI
2 - 1
PAF
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ARI
0 - 0
APO
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
OMO
0 - 3
ARI
36%
28%
37%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
ARI
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Apollon Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
OMO
1 - 2
APO
30%
27%
43%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
APO
1 - 0
AEK
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
PAF
58%
23%
19%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 2
APO
41%
28%
31%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
APO
0 - 1
ARI
57%
23%
20%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |