Aris Limassol vs APOEL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
4º
3º
62
1º
8º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
62 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
45 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 38 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 21 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 21 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 16 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 12 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aris Limassol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
OLY
0 - 0
ARI
26%
27%
47%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
AEL
0 - 0
ARI
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2022 |
ARI
1 - 4
PAO
45%
25%
30%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ANO
0 - 2
ARI
46%
26%
29%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2022 |
ARI
2 - 2
MAC
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
APOEL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
APO
1 - 0
ANO
49%
27%
24%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2022 |
PAF
1 - 2
APO
42%
26%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
NEA
1 - 3
APO
24%
26%
50%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
APO
4 - 0
OMO
47%
28%
26%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
DOX
0 - 1
APO
17%
26%
58%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |