Ariana FC vs Tvååker analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
29.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
9º
8º
25
6º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 69 |
1º
|
89.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 63 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 48 |
3º
|
53% | |
|
5º
|
30 | 44 |
4º
|
18% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 44 |
5º
|
19.5% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 43 |
6º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
32 | 42 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
29 | 40 |
8º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 39 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 38 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 37 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
10º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
10.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 36 |
13º
|
17.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
22.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 28 |
15º
|
67.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 21 |
16º
|
89% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
84.5% | 57% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
9.5% | 17.5% |
|
Relegation
|
6% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 2
GÖT
9%
16%
75%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 2
AFC
59%
21%
20%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LBK
1 - 1
AFC
59%
23%
18%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
AFC
5 - 0
OBK
60%
21%
19%
|
50 | 41 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
AFC
41%
23%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tvååker
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2024 |
TVA
1 - 3
TRE
14%
20%
66%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
TVA
0 - 1
ANG
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
FAL
2 - 0
TVA
77%
16%
8%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
OSK
1 - 1
TVA
36%
26%
39%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TVA
3 - 0
KON
34%
23%
44%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |