Ariana FC vs Onsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
19.1%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
1º
12º
12º
17
14º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 68 |
1º
|
94% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 60 |
2º
|
92.5% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 49 |
3º
|
63.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 46 |
4º
|
33.5% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 44 |
5º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 41 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 38 |
8º
|
11% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 38 |
9º
|
13% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 38 |
10º
|
8.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 38 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
29 | 37 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
26 | 34 |
14º
|
16.5% | |
|
15º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
47% | |
|
|
16º
|
17 | 22 |
16º
|
95% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
69% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
13% | 0.5% |
|
Relegation
|
18% | 99% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
TOR
3 - 2
AFC
41%
23%
37%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
JON
1 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
ESK
2 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
25%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
AFC
2 - 1
LJU
44%
25%
31%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
TVA
0 - 2
AFC
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Onsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
OBK
2 - 2
TRO
19%
23%
57%
|
40 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2024 |
TVA
2 - 1
OBK
66%
20%
14%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2024 |
JON
1 - 1
OBK
71%
18%
11%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2024 |
TIK
2 - 1
OBK
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
OBK
1 - 0
LBK
16%
21%
63%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +2 |