Division 1 Promotion Playoffs Final
Global 4-2
Ariana FC vs Astrio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
42.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ariana FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
AFC
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
AFC
0 - 3
JON
30%
24%
47%
|
48 | 55 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
ANG
3 - 2
AFC
47%
25%
28%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
AFC
4 - 0
TOR
52%
23%
25%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
FAL
1 - 0
AFC
68%
20%
13%
|
48 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Astrio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
AFC
38%
23%
39%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
KON
1 - 1
AST
45%
24%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
AST
3 - 2
KRI
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
HIT
80%
14%
7%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
OCK
2 - 4
AST
16%
18%
67%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |